Breaking news today inform people all over the world about a concealed nuclear facility in Iran. This time the Iranian leadership was kind enough to be the first to let the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) know about the underground facility. Is that so, though?
Unfortunately not. The fact that it was first said by the Iranian government doesn’t mean that there were no circumstances from outside Iran other than international regulations that made it do so. Arguably the most consistent circumstance is called collection of intelligence. If it wasn’t for the intelligence, I strongly doubt that the Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran Ayatollah Ali Khamenei – the person most tightly involved with the nuclear program, not to be confused with the powerfully weak President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad – would instruct his puppet to tell the world about the underground nuclear facility for no reason other than being aware of the western intelligence agencies’ awareness of what is going on northeast of Qom.
Furthermore, the Iranian government’s communication with the IAEA has always caused lack of confidence toward Tehran. Its late and often lame responses to the agency’s questions posed as a result of its and intelligence agencies’ revelations about the Islamic republic’s nuclear program have created such a discredit on it by the international community that even presumably naive people as well as political doves – as President Obama is estimated to possess the latter characteristic – have used a harsher language in their reactions to Iran’s letter to the IAEA.
Besides, if it was absolutely true that the facility was being built for peaceful purposes, questions such as why the Iranian government lets the international community know about it today and not on the day it actually started the construction remain unanswered. After all, the construction of the facility was allegedly started in mid-2006.
The near future
Without insider’s information, it is next to impossible to predict what sanctions will be imposed, especially not until the Geneva talks between Iran, Germany and the five permanent members of the UN Secirity Council that will be held in less than two weeks. Fortunately, sanctions are more likely than ever as all the five leaders of the permanent members of the UN Secirity Council expressed concerns and criticized Iran for constructing the nuclear facility, and to end up without imposing any sanctions against the Iranian government will be the most surprising outcome of the whole story. They just have to make sure to impose sanctions that will not hurt the Iranian people because we already know what the reaction to such sanctions lead to – xenophobia.