Back to Iran and its nuclear program ‘for peaceful purposes’

Breaking news today inform people all over the world about a concealed nuclear facility in Iran. This time the Iranian leadership was kind enough to be the first to let the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) know about the underground facility. Is that so, though?

Unfortunately not. The fact that it was first said by the Iranian government doesn’t mean that there were no circumstances from outside Iran other than international regulations that made it do so.  Arguably the most consistent circumstance is called collection of intelligence. If it wasn’t for the intelligence, I strongly doubt that the Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran Ayatollah Ali Khamenei – the person most tightly involved with the nuclear program, not to be confused with the powerfully weak President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad – would instruct his puppet to tell the world about the underground nuclear facility for no reason other than being aware of the western intelligence agencies’ awareness of what is going on northeast of Qom.

Furthermore, the Iranian government’s communication with the IAEA has always caused lack of confidence toward Tehran. Its late and often lame responses to the agency’s questions posed as a result of its and intelligence agencies’ revelations about the Islamic republic’s nuclear program have created such a discredit on it by the international community that even presumably naive people as well as political doves – as President Obama is estimated to possess the latter characteristic – have used a harsher language in their reactions to Iran’s letter to the IAEA.

Besides, if it was absolutely true that the facility was being built for peaceful purposes, questions such as why the Iranian government lets the international community know about it today and not on the day it actually started the construction remain unanswered. After all, the construction of the facility was allegedly started in mid-2006.

The near future

Without insider’s information, it is next to impossible to predict what sanctions will be imposed, especially not until the Geneva talks between Iran, Germany and the five permanent members of the UN Secirity Council that will be held in less than two weeks. Fortunately, sanctions are more likely than ever as all the five leaders of the permanent members of the UN Secirity Council expressed concerns and criticized Iran for constructing the nuclear facility, and to end up without imposing any sanctions against the Iranian government will be the most surprising outcome of the whole story. They just have to make sure to impose sanctions that will not hurt the Iranian people because we already know what the reaction to such sanctions lead to – xenophobia.

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9 Comments

Filed under Economy, Politics

9 responses to “Back to Iran and its nuclear program ‘for peaceful purposes’

  1. I am afraid that Iran’s leaders are not overly concerned with the sanctions or reparations that might follow. They must have been well aware of such consequences when starting the construction of the facility in secrecy.

    As to the people affected by those sanctions, it is likely that will be the Iranian people, no matter how diplomatically the UN Security Council might try to approach the issue. We all know by now that any attempt from the Eastern powers to regulate has been interpreted as a most negative and hostile intrusion.

  2. All right! I exaggerated a little bit. A solution should be found that would hurt the Iranian people the least possible. Imposing an oil embargo, for example, is not going to do the work, and we have already seen that. There are Iranians who are progressive enough to cooperate the opponents of the Islamic republic’s nuclear ambitions. I am sure that the intelligence agencies have a lot more information than outsiders like the two of us, and they hopefully know what to do with it. It will be very difficult to turn the country into a peaceful one – and why not a western ally – but it is definitely worth trying.

  3. I agree and share your hopes.

    I just noticed that in my first response I’ve written “Eastern powers” where I meant “Western powers” (it’s just the product of my multitasking gone wrong)

  4. Yeah, I saw that. No worries. 🙂

  5. I agree with the fact that sanctions hurt a lot more than the intended target – the government of the country being sanctioned. However, I think that short of a military action, there aren’t many other options when it comes to cutting the ability of a regime to reign in glory. Of course, it is super complicated, and as Dimitar said, sanctions are very detrimental to the well-being of the people of that country, which fuels xenophobia. Evil indeed begets evil. The unfortunate truth is, though, that building such a complicated weapon requires money. Lots of it. And when it comes to a fanatical regime like that one in Iran, I am inclined to agree that logistic hurdles might be the only short term solution that the rest of the world has in its diplomatic arsenal. Long term solution, I think, would be to try to help the opposition in the country to somehow take over, although how do you do that, when elections are nothing more than a date for the crowning of whoever the ayatollah decided to be the king. Hopefully we can think of something and quick, because I can only imagine what could happen if Iran acquires the ability to produce nuclear weapons. Talk about a game changer.

  6. The irony of the situation is that by trying to do the right thing we are being … ‘unfair’ (oh, that is a loaded word).
    The status quo suggest that each country has the right to defend its subjects and territory. It just so happens, that in our largely destructive era, the ultimate weapon is the nuclear weapon. Then, why do we have the right to possess such weapons, but sanction others for trying to acquire them? Don’t get me wrong, I don’t want to live to witness another world war and am not optimistic about the prospects of Iran having nuclear weapons. Yet, we have to admit, we are not exactly innocent here, and the xenophobia might even be justified. We pretend to be the friendly neighbor who wants to help everyone, but we are the only ones who can decide what is right and wrong. If the rest of the great powers possessed nuclear weapons and didn’t want ME to have any, I would say: ‘Do I even stand a chance here? What kind of a game is that.’
    I don’t pretend to know the answers or the solution to this problematic situation. It is a turmoil as it is, but the action and reaction we’re going to see in the near future are history in the making. I’m afraid, in this kind of story, there rarely is a happy end.

  7. “If the rest of the great powers possessed nuclear weapons and didn’t want ME to have any, I would say: ‘Do I even stand a chance here? What kind of a game is that.’”

    The game is that the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty is an international law that requires countries with nuclear weapons to gradually neutralize them and bans the production of any nuclear weapon. The ban includes every country that signed the treaty, even countries without a single nuclear weapon. So the nature of the game is in the law, and fortunately or not, the law doesn’t look at the moral side of the issue/debate.

  8. Exactly! Thanks for clarifying it so well. The Treaty should not be concerned with personal or even national predilections, but follow the law and the facts. As you said it, the law is not concerned with the moral side (the day I realized this I gave up my aspirations to become a lawyer). As Richard Powers puts it: “A man with moral cause stands outside the law.” But i agree, that the law should be like science – impersonal, objective, factual and devoid of emotion.

  9. Pingback: Iran exposed again « Evolution is the key!

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